Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.487517 3.703272 3.933055 4.197316 4.494519 4.820466 5.207794
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.306103 3.612819 3.957047 4.376841 4.881913 5.479552 6.255566
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.033931 3.383399 3.790732 4.309949 4.968893 5.799807 6.967999
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.793342 3.165732 3.613241 4.205105 4.991860 6.043093 7.639461
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.612755 3.004012 3.487369 4.149007 5.068743 6.371741 8.521651
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.464582 2.870160 3.383833 4.109681 5.162791 6.744773 9.597523
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.381191 2.811706 3.372027 4.192624 5.444119 7.464130 11.562874
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.220274 2.640830 3.196160 4.025381 5.325790 7.514621 12.297741
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.143281 2.576240 3.160153 4.057610 5.526360 8.169394 14.731393
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.066363 2.506471 3.111058 4.064515 5.687303 8.802224 17.665630
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.961553 2.392193 2.990315 3.948422 5.619348 8.963448 19.442546
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.865219 2.284866 2.873067 3.827730 5.527694 9.057328 21.174589
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.818572 2.253618 2.878152 3.927865 5.907079 10.478236 31.817459
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.786503 2.241291 2.911210 4.081783 6.440608 12.679458 62.705207
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.707334 2.155550 2.824674 4.018206 6.513195 13.670328 106.888314
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.628227 2.065719 2.725642 3.922009 6.498078 14.418280 210.785017
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.564810 1.996086 2.654248 3.869634 6.578487 15.651387 1929.248163
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.509649 1.936055 2.594328 3.832651 6.692548 17.220789 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.478789 1.911347 2.590526 3.904096 7.109501 20.973570 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.411423 1.827029 2.481739 3.754908 6.896394 20.968468 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.379104 1.795788 2.460757 3.782254 7.193552 25.001621 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.345383 1.760646 2.430681 3.787409 7.433300 29.620655 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.296924 1.700123 2.353147 3.684018 7.311520 30.723409 NaN